Deductive Divination; Considerations before Judgement
~ Predictions on the normalization of relations between the United States and Cuba ~
Estebon S.R. Duarte © 2014
Without making definitive statements on what is or isn’t a prediction, or trying to persuade or dissuade pro and antagonistic remarks on the topic, there is no argument against the fact that Astrology is a facet of Human culture and civilization that stimulates discussions about humanity and earthly affairs. And that is largely what we are engaging with, an ancient tradition that follows (precedes?) literate humans who reckon with numbers.
That being said, as Astrologers have shown varied opinions on what qualifies as prediction and to what extent prediction is even possible, Traditional Astrologers practice predictive astrology with purpose and sometimes have even stricter guidelines as to what is and is not a proper prediction. For the staunchest predictive astrologer may want to see the planetary arrangement used for the delineation and timing charts with exact intervals for possible timing of events referenced with quotes from the ancients. As research continues into both the historical use of astrology as well as its practitioners and participants, there is a pronounced difference between which ‘rules’ are promoted and practiced “faithfully” and delineation methodology that yields predictive results. Horary is a good example of how rules meet delineation toward the ultimate worth of a prognostication. Even the most particular ancient authors were prone to miscalculation as Ben Dykes points out in his evaluation of Masha’allah’s efforts;
“we must simply look at his own interpretive method to understand his astrology, and pretend the charts are accurate” (Astrology of the World II p.97).
Further considered is the value of the prognostication and wether it is preached for the choir (astrologers) or the masses (public readership). So when evaluating the USA Aries Ingress for 2014 (https://plus.google.com/+Organic-Astrology/posts/dFVCzhNcEdh) strides were made to pronounce judgement on the chart without “showing the work” of astrological determination and delineation. Thus the statement “Spending will increase, foreign investments will rise and we may see the embargo lifted from Cuba before next spring” is not a particular prediction for Cuba or Cubans. It has elements of predictive effort and may not just be a consideration before judgment. It is a part of the 2014 Ingress report for the United States and as such was not delineated as a physical event that will happen at a specific time which is why after downgrading the prognostication I left the embargo strikethrough for later discussion.
The announcement of a new relationship with Cuba was a proclamation made by the ruler of the US and is grouped with a delineation of the potential Lord of the Year (LOY) which in this chart was the difference between an exalted people and an exalted ruler.
Finances are a major topic of the 2014 Ingress. Jupiter rises in Cancer ruling the MC, the 9th and the 6th signs, The Sun is exalted in the 10th sign while ruling the 2nd.
In 2014 the US concerned itself with generating wealth were there was none before; Quantitative Easing, Record stock market numbers, producing oil domestically, burgeoning Cannabis Industries, with a ninth house component there must be a foreign business environment that has gone un-tapped or un-developed. To serve the received trine from Mercury to Jupiter it would have to be secret or suspect, though layered with commercial applications in the guise of Justice. The arrangement would also have to be counter status-quo (Mercury in Fall) and a grandiose gesture of goodwill (received by an exalted Jupiter), though ultimately productive and successful as the Lot of Fortune is with Mercury. Politics, posturing, and grandstanding with a definitive result. The closest foreign place where no current communicated source of opportunity exists for the United States is difficult to find in the modern age, Venezuela? Cuba?
While studying the rise of new rulership in Cuba under Raul Castro I noticed Libra, Venus, and Pisces as indicators of change, and if deductive divination were not enough evidence then I offer the water signs involved and a signification of island locales as the realm of Pisces if not so much Cancer.
With an amount of unchecked exuberance I wrote “the Embargo will be lifted”!!
These are the types of proclamations that make predictive astrologers’ results look unreliable.
Regardless, I wished to stand by predictions that I had spoke and I downgraded the prognostication to “trade restrictions” while leaving proof of my dubious claim on my WordPress blog (https://cosmophage.wordpress.com/2014/03/30/aries-ingress-usa-2014/). While the time between edits was a few hours, I knew the element I was delineating was opportunistic, magnanimous, and shrewdly economic (for reasons that may not be readily available right now) so there the testimonies toward judgement were there.
A timeline of events relating to trade stemming from the date of the embargo will show that in the last couple of decades so much back and forth allowances and exceptions have occurred to make the embargo look perhaps opaque (depending on particular perspective as it takes a uniquely ‘un-biased’ or perhaps naive stance to make proclamations about Cuba and Cubans). Regardless, to the Old Guard the Embargo is symbolic and 8 months ago it may have seemed a far-fetched prediction (does it still? The current administration has officially asked Congress to lift it).
So still the idea of “lifted trade restrictions” seemed lacking in any weight or sufficient detail, perhaps a safe prediction that could be explained by any exception or allowance to the rule. I could have added ‘travel’ to the restrictions lifted with mercury and ninth house indicating a pilgrimage element, and with Jupiter and Venus ruling the 9th there would be Catholics involved (apparently the Pope brokered this accord).
As I posted the 2014 USA Aries Ingress report first to Organic Astrology (www.organic-astrology.com scroll down) then to Google+ I realized that there should be something more to recognize that I really did believe the Embargo would be lifted before Spring (I just didn’t complete the Cuban ingress report to confirm with confidence), so when posting the report to my WordPress blog I finalized the effort as “significant trade restrictions will be lifted”. Real game-changer eh?
I recognized all of this as a completely haphazard approach to what I wanted to be a more in-depth prognostication, but with work still to be done on the Hybrid Solar Eclipse/Ebola paper discussed on Organic Astrology, I chose not to have my USA Ingress Report crowded with planetary arrangements and delineations for different countries, as well as the aforementioned attempt at a readable ingress report for both practitioner and participant.
Simple answer to determination and delineation?
In the USA chart an exalted rising Jupiter, Lord of the Asc/MC was receiving Mercury in Pisces/9th sign.
9th/Pisces/Mercury (conjunct the POF). Mercury in Pisces participates with Venus as LOY when Raul Castro took office (Aries Ingress 2007) and the Sun was transiting Pisces when he gave his acceptance speech and was officially sworn in as “Ruler” of Cuba. Libra rises in the relevant Cuban ingress charts.
Astrology doesn’t have to be over-complicated or difficult, trust in simple delineations combined with proper significations, which will probably always be a source of disagreement. Now timing is another story still and all I can say is with the dynamic planetary arrangement, that some decree with initiating action would occur before the next Aries Ingress, I consulted no directions, though if you Profect the first house Jupiter and the Asc come to Mercury and the 9th/MC between Nov 21-Dec 21.
Should any staunch traditional practitioner of ancient horoscopy wish to complicate, prove or provoke the matter I invite you to the (partial) list of charts one could use as a beginning chart or relevant radix.
- Lunation Prior*Conj* 29 Pisces
- Aries Ingress 1958 (fixed chart) Revolutionary Socialists Take Control (January 1)
- Lunation Prior *Prev* 22 Pisces Total Lunar Eclipse March 13 1960
- Aries Ingress 1960 (fixed chart) Embargo
- Saturn/Jupiter Conj Feb 1961
- Lunation Prior*Prev*26Pisces
- Aries Ingress 1965 (fixed chart) Communist Party Established (October)
- Aries Ingress 2007 Rise of a new Ruler (movable)
- Feb 24 2008 Raul Castro Elected (5pm?local. AP report?)
- Lunation Prior*Prev*26Pisces/Virgo
- Aries Ingress 2014 (movable chart)
- Lunation Prior*
- Cancer Ingress 2014
- Lunation Prior*
- Libra Ingress 2014
- Lunation Prior* to Announcement
- US Relations Establishment Announced Dec 17 2014
- Lunation Prior*
- Capricorn Ingress 2014